Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.437835 0.483658 0.532881 0.589793 0.653912 0.724062 0.806822
2025-07-20 0.366700 0.430457 0.503965 0.595437 0.706840 0.838902 1.008479
2025-07-27 0.326301 0.398889 0.486662 0.601531 0.749242 0.934623 1.187776
2025-08-03 0.295928 0.373606 0.471180 0.604196 0.783047 1.018427 1.357044
2025-08-10 0.273513 0.354937 0.460616 0.609878 0.818587 1.105097 1.537071
2025-08-17 0.248418 0.329835 0.438434 0.596471 0.824950 1.150199 1.661059
2025-08-24 0.234224 0.317845 0.432339 0.603832 0.859945 1.237783 1.855879
2025-08-31 0.218628 0.302398 0.419761 0.600099 0.877343 1.299724 2.016760
2025-09-07 0.206832 0.291280 0.412194 0.602566 0.903502 1.376482 2.209061
2025-09-14 0.193396 0.276695 0.398272 0.593863 0.910831 1.423167 2.355223
2025-09-21 0.182177 0.264564 0.387012 0.588099 0.921837 1.476091 2.517322
2025-09-28 0.168027 0.247060 0.366311 0.565550 0.902930 1.476245 2.583271
2025-10-05 0.161905 0.241664 0.364242 0.573400 0.936430 1.571122 2.839419
2025-10-12 0.155851 0.235985 0.361322 0.579561 0.967514 1.664842 3.106136
2025-10-19 0.150253 0.230630 0.358473 0.585438 0.998318 1.760716 3.389560
2025-10-26 0.144459 0.224571 0.354003 0.588021 1.023111 1.847388 3.665330
2025-11-02 0.139658 0.219830 0.351369 0.593526 1.053614 1.947912 3.984665
2025-11-09 0.131923 0.209747 0.339030 0.580536 1.047560 1.974633 4.142795
2025-11-16 0.128198 0.206223 0.337737 0.587668 1.081161 2.085564 4.510422
2025-11-23 0.122964 0.199817 0.330997 0.584051 1.092914 2.151657 4.780887
2025-11-30 0.119033 0.195448 0.327582 0.586442 1.116932 2.246326 5.135548
2025-12-07 0.113722 0.188380 0.318906 0.578009 1.117692 2.289650 5.366139
2025-12-14 0.109166 0.182428 0.311931 0.572424 1.123945 2.345877 5.639064